The Grand National

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With The Grand National occurring this weekend, punters are hoping to get a piece of Europe’s most lucrative jump race. Before making your selection for the race, it’s be worth taking a look at the of past winners of the race. We’ve collected data on winners of The Grand National from the past 50 years, and the numbers are tipping our selections in a certain direction.

First time is the charm: The Grand National winner will likely be a debutant!

With The Grand National occurring this weekend, punters are hoping to get a piece of Europe’s most lucrative jump race. Before making your selection for the race, it’s be worth taking a look at the of past winners of the race. We’ve collected data on winners of The Grand National from the past 50 years, and the numbers are tipping our selections in a certain direction.

The Grand National winner will likely be a debutant

First time is the charm:

When it comes to The Grand National, experience doesn’t seem to be a deciding factor. In the last 50 years, 69% of the winners have been first time runners of the race. The more experienced horses seem to be at a disadvantage, as horses who have run the course more than 3 times only make up 10 percent of the victors. 

Attempt Number by Winning Horses


Grand National
YearWinnerNumber of attempts
2015 Many Clouds 1
2014 Pineau de Re 1
2013 Auroras Encore 1
2012 Neptune Collong 1
2011 Ballabriggs 1
2010 Don't Push It 1
2009 Mon Mome 2
2008 Comply or Die 1
2007 Silver Birch 2
2006 Numbersixvalver 1
2005 Hedgehunter 2
2004 Amberleigh House 3
2003 Monty's Pass 1
2002 Bindaree 1
2001 Red Marauder 2
2000 Papillon 1
1999 Bobbyjo 1
1998 Earth Summit 1
1997 Lord Gyllene 1
1996 Rough Quest 1
1995 Royal Athlete 1
1994 Miinnehoma 1
1992 Party Politics 3
1991 Seagram 1
1990 Mr Frisk 1
1989 Little Polveir 2
1988 Rhyme 'n' Reason 1
1987 Maori Venture 2
1986 West Tip 1
1985 Last Suspect 1
1984 Hallo Dandy 1
1983 Corbiere 2
1982 Grittar 1
1981 Aldaniti 1
1980 Ben Nevis 5
1979 Rubstic 2
1978 Lucius 4
1977 Red Rum 2
1976 Rag Trade 1
1975 L'Escargot 1
1974 Red Rum 2
1973 Red Rum 1
1972 Well to Do 1
1971 Specify 2
1970 Gay Trip 1
1969 Highland Wedding 3
1968 Red Alligator 2
1967 Foinavon 1
1966 Anglo 1
1965 Jay Trump 1

Age is more than just a number:

The minimum age restriction for The Grand National is currently 7 years old. However, the younger runners haven’t had what it takes to win, as no horse under the age of 8 has won the race in the past 50 years. 9 years old is the prime age for a winner, seeing as 30% of the winners are of that age. 

Ages of Past Winning Horses


Grand National
YearWinnerAge
2015 Many Clouds 8
2014 Pineau de Re 11
2013 Auroras Encore 11
2012 Neptune Collong 11
2011 Ballabriggs 10
2010 Don't Push It 10
2009 Mon Mome 9
2008 Comply or Die 9
2007 Silver Birch 10
2006 Numbersixvalver 10
2005 Hedgehunter 9
2004 Amberleigh House 12
2003 Monty's Pass 10
2002 Bindaree 8
2001 Red Marauder 11
2000 Papillon 9
1999 Bobbyjo 9
1998 Earth Summit 10
1997 Lord Gyllene 9
1996 Rough Quest 10
1995 Royal Athlete 12
1994 Miinnehoma 11
1992 Party Politics 8
1991 Seagram 11
1990 Mr Frisk 11
1989 Little Polveir 12
1988 Rhyme 'n' Reason 9
1987 Maori Venture 11
1986 West Tip 9
1985 Last Suspect 11
1984 Hallo Dandy 10
1983 Corbiere 8
1982 Grittar 9
1981 Aldaniti 11
1980 Ben Nevis 12
1979 Rubstic 10
1978 Lucius 9
1977 Red Rum 12
1976 Rag Trade 10
1975 L'Escargot 12
1974 Red Rum 9
1973 Red Rum 8
1972 Well to Do 9
1971 Specify 9
1970 Gay Trip 8
1969 Highland Wedding 12
1968 Red Alligator 9
1967 Foinavon 9
1966 Anglo 8
1965 Jay Trump 8

20/1 is better than it sounds:

When it comes to betting, a starting price of 20/1 are basically signifying a loss. That is not the case for The Grand National. The average odds between the 6 most common starting price odds is actually 20/1—with 14/1 being the most frequent occurrence with 6 winners. Like with Cheltenham, it might be favourable to stay clear of the favourites.

"More horses fell at one fence in one race than favourites have won in the last 50 years #GrandNational"

Tweet: More horses fell at one fence in one race than favourites have won in the last 50 years #GrandNational http://ctt.ec/1dG9v+ 

Starting Prices of Past Winning Horses


Grand National
YearWinnerOdds (Starting Price)
2015 Many Clouds 25/1
2014 Pineau de Re 25/1
2013 Auroras Encore 66/1
2012 Neptune Collong 33/1
2011 Ballabriggs 14/1
2010 Don't Push It 10/1 JF
2009 Mon Mome 100/1
2008 Comply or Die 7/1
2007 Silver Birch 33/1
2006 Numbersixvalver 11/1
2005 Hedgehunter 7/1 F
2004 Amberleigh House 16/1
2003 Monty's Pass 16/1
2002 Bindaree 20/1
2001 Red Marauder 33/1
2000 Papillon 10/1
1999 Bobbyjo 10/1
1998 Earth Summit 7/1 F
1997 Lord Gyllene 14/1
1996 Rough Quest 7/1 F
1995 Royal Athlete 40/1
1994 Miinnehoma 16/1
1992 Party Politics 14/1
1991 Seagram 12/1
1990 Mr Frisk 16/1
1989 Little Polveir 28/1
1988 Rhyme 'n' Reason 10/1
1987 Maori Venture 28/1
1986 West Tip 15/2
1985 Last Suspect 50/1
1984 Hallo Dandy 13/1
1983 Corbiere 13/1
1982 Grittar 7/1 F
1981 Aldaniti 10/1
1980 Ben Nevis 40/1
1979 Rubstic 25/1
1978 Lucius 14/1
1977 Red Rum 9/1
1976 Rag Trade 14/1
1975 L'Escargot 13/2
1974 Red Rum 11/1
1973 Red Rum 9/1 JF
1972 Well to Do 14/1
1971 Specify 28/1
1970 Gay Trip 15/1
1969 Highland Wedding 100/9
1968 Red Alligator 100/7
1967 Foinavon 100/1
1966 Anglo 50/1
1965 Jay Trump 100/6

Don’t Bank on Back-to-Back:

Of all the winners in the past 50 years, Red Rum is the only horse to win two consecutive Grand Nationals. Furthermore, he’s the only horse to win the race three times. That being said, it doesn’t make sense to back last year’s winner, Many Clouds, for two additional reasons: 1) he currently has odds of 9/1, and 2) it will be his second appearance in the race. 

Expert Advice from Stephen Harris:

No matter what the data shows, there are always upsets in races like The Grand National (Red Rum’s hat trick is exhibit A). So, it’s always good to confer with an expert before making your selection. Stephen Harris, bettingexpert’s resident horse racing specialist, has some words of wisdom regarding this particular event:

"The Grand National has proved to be something of a bookmakers benefit in recent seasons, with several big priced winners unconsidered by the public giving them a real "skinner" in the book. Overall however, the National is not always as competitive as the 40 runner field suggests, and focusing on the young, up and coming, proven stayers of this marathon trip, can prove profitable for the more discerning punter"

Defensive Fences: Deadliest Fences at The Grand National:

The Grand National is one of the deadliest events in horse racing. A main contributor to the rising death toll is a combination of the endurance required and the gruelling fences to jump in the almost 4.5 mile handicap steeplechase.

We’ve compiled the deadliest fences below, so you can see where the danger truly lies for these horses.

Deadliest Fences of The Grand National


Grand National
FenceNumber of Deaths
1 (&17) 2
3 (&19) 3
4 (&20) 5
6 (&22) 10
8 (&24) 2
9 (&25) 1
15 2

 

 

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